What does 2015 indicate with lower oil prices?

There is no doubt in my mind that the price of oil will come into play and it will affect our buyers from Alberta, who make up close to 20% of our transactions. Realistically, if we maintain the same activity as 2014, then we are in for a strong year. Prior to the drop in oil prices, 2015 looked like it was just going to continue to move right on as it did in 2014. But even with a significantly lower oil price, December was one of our strongest months for increased activity and January has started off strong too.

Should the oil prices remain low for a relatively short time, which we all think they will, then we may not see much affect at all. If 2015 sees a full year of low oil prices, it may start eroding consumer confidence which has been the main driving force for a strong 2014. The next few months will be interesting.

Home Prices on the Rise!

November continued to follow the lead from previous months showing a more active period than last year with unit sales up by 3.1% and volume ahead by almost 12%. Listings are up slightly over November of 2013 by 2.6%, but year to date continues to be down quite significantly by 16%, resulting in higher prices and a seller’s market below the $500,000 price range producing quick sales and multi-offer situations.                                                                                                 

The average sales price of a single family home in November was up a startling 17.5% over November last
year at $540,000 compared to $459,000. Even the median price was up over 12% at $459,500. Year to date, the single family home category is now up by 8% at $500,000, while the median price is $452,500. Condos and townhouse also showed an increase in the median price but more modest at 5.25% and 4.75% respectively. Year to date, the average price of a condo is $243,000 while a townhouse is $362,000.

The next few months may prove very interesting as the price of oil continues to decline. The resource rich sector from Alberta and Saskatchewan has had a positive impact on the activity we have experienced in the valley and should the price of oil stay lower than was expected, it may impact sales in our market.

Market Report for January

Buyers felt slightly more optimistic to the start of 2013 than in the last few years.
Overall sales were up 3.8% in the Central Zone in comparison to the same month last year as reported by the Okanagan Mainline Real Estate Board.

In January, 219 properties traded hands in comparison to 211 in 2012. These sales represented a sales volume improvement of over 17% and equated to a dollar volume of $87.7 million in comparison to 2012’s dollar volume of $74.8 million. The continued low cost of borrowing buoyed demand as reflected in the total residential sales for last month rose 4.2% with 197 units sold versus 189 units sold in January of last year.

The sales volume for total residential sales also increased a significant 17.51% representing over $49 million in comparison to $42 million last year. The single family homes and townhouse sector showed an improvement of 4.9% and 16% respectively. The average for all types of Residences was also up 8.93% and came in at $394,815 in comparison to 2012’s $362,440 average.

This total takes into account all styles of residential living including mobile homes, duplex’s, recreational real estate, timeshares, apartments and townhomes. Values and marketing times vary depending on location, property type and price range.

HIGGINS REPORT ON THE MARKET....

 HOW’S THE MARKET?

Kelowna, BC – We anticipate that newly released HST Transitional Rules, continued low interest rates and abundant supply will spur the market in 2012 as first-time home buyers, new home buyers and investors take advantage of bonus’s and increased rebate thresholds for new homes.

HST HIGHLIGHTS:
· The First-Time Home New Home Buyer’s Bonus – 5% OF THE PURCHASE PRICE UP TO MAXIMUM OF $10,000
· The B.C. new housing rebate threshold will be increased to $850,000, effective April 1st with a maximum rebate of $42,000
· New homes where construction begins before April 1, 2013 and possession occurs after, buyers will not pay the 7% provincial portion of the HST but rather a Transitional Tax of 2% plus GST.
· Enhanced New Rental Housing Rebate to support the construction or substantial renovation of affordable rental housing.

RE/MAX Kelowna has had a brisk start to the year, writing 28% more transactions year to date than in 2011. We are monitoring the trend of investors making real estate their investment vehicle
of choice which is evidenced in OMREB’S January Buyer’s Survey which reported that investors made up 16.6% of all of our Buyers in the month of January, which is up considerably over previous year’s numbers.
The Okanagan Mainline Real Estate Board (OMREB) reported February 2012 sales activity of all MLS® property types improved over the same month last year as the housing market continues on a moderate but steady upward trend.
“February home sales remained strong in the Okanagan-Shuswap, and on par with the 10-15 year average for unit sales,”says Rob Shaw, OMREB Vice President. “The trend in modest rising sales over the past few months is in line with the gradual growth in the economy and indicates market improvement.
Province-wide, prices are staying relatively flat and holding steady in most segments in our Board area.”
Overall sales in the Central Zone for the month rose 16% to 289 units ($100.4million) compared to 249 ($95.5 million) in February 2011, and improved by 58.0% over the units sold last month (183). Total residential sales for February were up 11.4% to 263 units compared to 236 sold last year, and jumped 39.2% from 189 in January. Single family home sales (130 units) remained similar to last February (129), but climbed 27.5% compared to last month (102). Townhouse sales in February showed a 113% improvement over 2011 (to 49 from 23), and were up 96% from units sold in January (25). While inventory for the month (4,500) units was up 1.4% over 4,437 in 2011, the 954 new listings for February dropped 6.7% from the 1,022 last year at this time.
Values range from property to property depending on location, condition, inventory and other factors. Contact Me for your Housing Check-Up today!

Celebrating the Home

HOME Design

THE KITCHEN IS THE HUB

Ever wonder why “kitchen parties” naturally occur every time you have guests?
Well, it’s because the kitchen is the hub of every home. It’s where we get nourishment, refreshment, gather and regroup after a busy day. It is a room with real value for family. At RE/MAX we’ve learned that kitchen upgrades can really deliver, with a 44 % higher return on investment over the average return on other popular renos you might consider.
Whether you’re working with a contemporary kitchen or more of a country feel, stainless steel appliances continue to hold a lot of interest. In cabinetry, look at fine-grained maple, stained or natural, over the traditional heavy oak look of the past. Laminates and marble are great choices for counter tops, but
granite continues to be the most popular surface of all. Check out the latest fixtures in today’s new brushed nickel finishes.

HOME Maintenance

POTENTIAL BUYERS WILL BE LOOKING FOR VISUAL CLUES THAT YOUR HOME IS WELL CARED FOR.

How much work a house seems to require will impact the offering prices you receive, so it’s worthwhile to ensure that everything is in good working order.
BATHROOMS - Ensure all plumbing fixtures are clean and in good working order. Outfit leaky faucets with new washers and clean any visible stains on porcelain fixtures. Replace old, worn shower curtains and bath mats.
DOORS and WINDOWS - Spray WD40 on all hinges so everything operates smoothly. Have windows cleaned inside and out. Potential buyers will be estimating their energy costs, so fix drafts by re-caulking windows and replace exterior doors in necessary.

Did You Know...

RE/MAX is proud to support the Western Hockey League and excited to offer fans a chance to win a group of 24 tickets to see your local WHL team in an upcoming game! By offering this promotion we want you to know that we appreciate your business in the communities in which we live and work.
To enter your group, go to www.RemaxKelowna.com and click on the RE/MAX Home Team Contest link.

Spring time....time to get Started!!

Can you believe Spring is right around the corner? With Spring comes peak Real Estate Season and if you're thinking of putting your home on the market, the time to get started is now as houses are staying on the market for an average of 100 days. However, if you have your home priced right and the right Real Estate Agent who will market your home aggressively and give your home to the most exposure potential buyers, then your house will sell faster. Because it is a buyers market it is Critical that you hire the best Real Estate Agent to work for you to get the best price for your home.

You only have One chance to make a Good First Impression!!

Tips For Preparing Your Home For Showings

• Tidy up the porch/decks and garage. Keep the lawn trimmed and edged. Make sure that your yard is clean.  When showing in the winter make sure snow is cleared and walkways are free of ice.

• Your front door adds to that first impression - be sure it is clean or repainted if necessary.

• Wash windows and clean/dust window coverings.

• If any decorating or painting is needed (especially in the kitchen), do it now! Forty dollars worth of paint will make a difference in the sales price.

• Bathrooms help sell homes. Make them sparkle.

• Replace burnt out bulbs and turn on the lights for all showings. Illumination is like a welcome sign.

• Wash dishes/turn on dishwasher, make beds, put away clothes and straighten up.

• Keep pets out of the way during showings – as some people are allergic to them.

• Leave the showing to the Realtor.  The Realtor knows the buyer’s requirements and can best emphasize the features of your home.  If possible, leave the house during a showing.

• Don’t discuss anything about the sale with a potential customer.  Let your Realtor discuss price, terms, possession and other items concerning the sale.   Your Realtor is qualified to bring negotiations to a favorable conclusion.

• Pack away valuables, store extra furniture and knick-knacks.

• Look at your home objectively. Pretend you are seeing it for the first time, through a buyer’s eyes.

HIGGINS REPORT ON THE MARKET. 2010 vs 2011

As you can see the number of sales for the last 6 months of 2011 were up as compared to 2010. Available inventory remains high making for a strong Buyers Market.

HIGGINS REPORT ON THE MARKET 2

Okanagan‐Shuswap Market Ends Year on a Strong Note.

Kelowna BC-The Okanagan Mainline Real Estate Board (OMREB) reported December 2011 sales activity of all MLS® property types improved over the same month last year as the housing market continued to
normalize with prices stabilizing and inventory on the decline at year end.
“As 2011 came to a close, overall sales activity in the recovering Okanagan‐Shuswap market continued to
strengthen with moderate but steady improvement during the last two quarters of the year, and showed
remarkable resiliency despite ongoing global economic and financial uncertainty,” says Rob Shaw, an active
REALTOR® in the North Zone and OMREB Vice President. “Sales in most segments are stable and holding their own compared to 2010, as historically low interest rates continue to positively impact purchasing power and improve affordability for buyers. However, modest economic recovery and job growth have affected
disposable income for potential recreation and investment purchasers so these sectors remain sluggish.
“Although listings are trending downward and keeping inventory in check, there is still an ample supply and
good selection of properties available in this market,” Shaw notes. “The 686 new residential listings taken
Board‐wide for the month of December in both 2011 and 2010 are at 2002 levels (637) and on par with the 10‐year average (679) for this month. However, year‐to‐date listings reported for the 12 months of 2011 (17,619) are 9.8% higher than the 10‐year average (16,491) but similar to pre‐recession levels (17,855 in 2007).”
Board‐wide (Peachland to Revelstoke): During December, the 293 overall sales in OMREB’s Board area improved by 7.7% compared to last year’s 272, but dropped 28.9% from the 412 sold this November.
December sales are typically lower given that home buyers turn their attention to Christmas rather than house
shopping. Sales volumes of $113.9 million were up 3.4% for the month compared to $110.1 million in 2010.
Inventory (active listings) for December was down slightly (0.3%) to 6,870 units compared to 6,892 in 2010, while new listings for the month were the same as last year at this time (686).
Central Zone (Peachland to Lake Country): Overall unit sales in the Central Zone jumped by 4.6% to 183 units ($77.0 million) compared to 175 ($77.9 million) last December, and were down 29.1% compared to the 258 units sold in November. Total residential sales improved by 9.3% to 165 units compared to 151 sold last December, but were down 30.1% from 236 in November. Single family home sales of 96 units rose 12.9% compared to 85 last year, but dipped 22.6% compared to this November (124). December’s inventory of 3,853 units was up 3.4% compared to 3,725 in 2010, and the 461 new listings for the month rose 3.3% over the 446 last year.
North Zone (Predator Ridge to Enderby): Overall unit sales in the North Zone for December rose 10.0% to 77 units ($26.4 million) compared to 70 ($23.4 million) in 2010, and slipped 18.9% from the 95 units sold this November. Total residential sales for December improved by 23.6% to 68 units compared to 55 last year, but dipped 17.1% from the 82 sold in November. Single family home sales (35) were up 20.7% compared to the units sold in December 2010 (29), but were down 25.5% compared to unit sales in the previous month this year (47). While last month’s inventory dropped by 5.0% to 1,850 compared to 1,947 last year, the 129 new listings taken were up down 16.8% from 155 in 2010.
Shuswap Zone (Salmon Arm to Revelstoke): Overall unit sales in the Shuswap Zone improved by 22.2% to 33 units ($10.4 million) compared to 27 units ($8.8 million) in December 2010, but were down 44.0% from the 59 sold this November. Total residential sales of 25 units rose by 8.7% over the 23 in 2010, but dropped 52.8% from the 53 sales in November. The 14 single family unit sales remained the same as the units sold last December but were down 48.1% from the 27 sales during the previous month this year. While inventory dipped 3.4% from last December (1,161 compared to 1,202 in 2010), new listings (95) were up 14.5% compared to last year (83).
OMREB MEDIA RELEASE
January 5, 2012

HIGGINS REPORT ON THE MARKET

The 2011 real estate market finished on a

stronger note than it began. December’s residential
sales were up over 9% over the same
time last year but more importantly the continued
early activity into the new year is encouraging.
We are seeing more buyers coming forward
showing interest in purchasing real estate. The
record low interest rates certainly have something
to do with it along with the great selection
of properties. Even the mild winter has people
thinking about real estate sooner than they
normally would but we believe that there truly
is a sense of optimism in the air. We have now
had four years of a slower real estate market
which has created more affordable housing
options and selection. People realize that
Canada and more specifically our area is
experiencing economic growth, as moderate as
it may be. Job stability exists and we are now
finally starting to see more positive signs coming
out of the US that their economy is going to
grow.
The Okanagan Mainline Real Estate Board
stated in their year end update that “despite
concerns about employment, personal debt load
and net worth which dampened consumer confidence
and slowed overall demand in most BC
markets during 2011, OMREB ended the year
on a positive note and is moving forward with
optimism. A modest improvement is anticipated
for 2012 with a slow but steady increase
in sales activity, downward trend in listings,
and stable home prices for balanced market
conditions in our area.”
We predict that 2012 is the year we return to
a balanced market with fewer listings coming
onto the market and prices showing modest
movement upwards. The Alberta economy is
on a rebound along with their job growth and it
will without doubt have a positive impact on
our area. What this all means is it truly is a
great time to invest in our real estate market
now.
Cliff Shillington
Owner, Managing Broker
RE/MAX Kelowna